Southampton v Brighton (8pm)
- Southampton to win the match
- Ings to score anytime
- Over 2 cards in the match
A Southampton v Brighton Preview, Predictions and Tips article that looks at the stats, form, head-to-heads to pick out some value betting options.
Southampton v Brighton Preview, Predictions and Tips – Form
Mark Hughes will be looking to build on Saints’ first league win of the season, a confident 2-0 win over Crystal Palace. They looked a decent outfit with Danny Ings impressing up top and Lemina catching the eye in central midfield. Prior to that, Southampton beat Brighton 1-0 in the second round of the Carabao Cup although it is fair to say neither side put their first string out. A draw against Burnley in the opening day of the season is their only other point this season but they did notch goals in their defeats against Everton and Leicester.
Brighton have had a mixed start. The rough start losing away at Watford was soon forgotten when a Glen Murray inspired first half against Man United saw them beat the giants 3-2. They haven’t won a game since. A 2-2 draw at home to Fulham thanks to two second half goals from 34 year old Murray was their latest outing.
Southampton v Brighton Preview, Predictions and Tips – Head-to-Heads
Carabao cup aside, games between these two south coast sides have been even stevens. Two 1-1 draws last season shows that not much separates the sides. Prior to that, they last met in Southampton’s promotion grabbing Championship campaign in 2012. Not much to go on here. If you really believe in history repeating itself then Saints are the side to back. The full head-to-head history – Southampton have won 33, Brighton & Hove Albion 20, and 16 draws.
Southampton v Brighton Preview, Predictions and Tips – Key Stats
We fancy some cards to be dished out in this game. Two evenly matched sides who will be scrapping for three points. It screams yellow cards. Glen Murray might be banging the goals in this season but he also has two yellows to his name. Last season he picked up nine yellows. Not many strikers can boast that sort of disciplinary record! Southampton’s Oriol Romeu was the league’s leading yellow card getter with 11 yellows although he hasn’t started many games this season. Their two league meetings last season both produced four cards per game.
Goals may not be the order of the day in this one. Last season, Brighton failed to score in 12 of their 19 away games. Southampton failed to score in seven of their home games. However, in Murray and Ings, there are goal-scorers in the game who could slot in the crucial game clincher.
If it is corners you fancy betting on, both these sides average high volumes per game. Saints have a remarkable 13.5 corners per game average and Brighton 11.5. Over 11 corners is 13/10 on Bet365.
Southampton v Brighton Preview, Predictions and Tips – The Bottom Line
It certainly won’t be easy for Saints but we are backing them to notch three home points here. It will be a gritty game with plenty of challenges flying in so expect some cards to be handed out. Saints impressed against Crystal Palace and with Ings leading the line, they have genuine quality in front of goal. We are going for a 1-0 or 2-0 home win. Bet365 are offering 9/1 on a 2-0 Saints win.
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